Integrated Scenario Building
Dr. Thomas Pregger, project manager
- Project Group:
Dr. Thomas Pregger, Dr. Tobias Naegler, Frieder Borggrefe, Dr. Wolfgang Weimer-Jehler, Diana Gallego Carrera, Hannah Kosow, Dr. Aleksandar S. Jovanovic, Dr. Thomas Pregger, Sigrid Prehofer, Dr. Stefan Vögele
Department of Systems Analysis and Technology Assessment, DLR
ZIRIUS, Research Center on Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies, University of Stuttgart
Systems Analysis and Technology Evaluation (IEK-STE), FZJ
The main objective of this project is to develop and apply a new methodology for integrated energy scenario building that combines the classic approach for energy system analysis with social-oriented context scenarios, and in doing this, to translate the Research Field’s overarching motif of “socio-technical” scenarios into the field of national energy transition scenarios. In this project, the context scenario construction follows a participatory scenario approach inviting researchers within and outside the Alliance to contribute their expert judgments. Relevant social descriptors and their impact on major variables that define an energy system and its transformation will be linked as far as possible to quantitative variations of energy demand and the expansion of infrastructures for generation, storage and transmission in integrated energy scenarios. In addition to this, the project aims at including a more comprehensive characterization of infrastructural needs in energy scenarios and to analyze the interrelationship between social drivers and the technological-structural development pathways required for the transformation of the energy system.